Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.311943 3.977097 4.721295 5.612669 6.648162 7.809917 9.208610
2025-05-04 2.528047 3.425499 4.535585 5.996751 7.854907 10.123258 13.084087
2025-05-11 1.904291 2.865633 4.161269 6.006344 8.532171 11.829977 16.414773
2025-05-18 1.424380 2.358373 3.718007 5.793054 8.820000 13.003360 19.132795
2025-05-25 1.073782 1.944158 3.304635 5.515417 8.927920 13.884956 21.484870
2025-06-01 0.870502 1.707790 3.101769 5.494323 9.370927 15.244452 24.597414
2025-06-08 0.724985 1.532908 2.958604 5.530280 9.882208 16.726527 27.993575
2025-06-15 0.602093 1.369275 2.801043 5.508353 10.280157 18.048695 31.233227
2025-06-22 0.473459 1.163043 2.527645 5.236587 10.213485 18.603184 33.282608
2025-06-29 0.397325 1.046451 2.400022 5.204817 10.547430 19.828364 36.496186
2025-07-06 0.334583 0.943737 2.280361 5.166645 10.856727 21.025247 39.738188
2025-07-13 0.312261 0.930603 2.343469 5.494949 11.876429 23.532949 45.390085
2025-07-20 0.280274 0.887744 2.338834 5.691606 12.679263 25.745359 50.738766
2025-07-27 0.257299 0.863101 2.371455 5.971781 13.676129 28.392365 57.054264
2025-08-03 0.219396 0.787131 2.270326 5.945318 14.049302 29.905804 61.420439
2025-08-10 0.178031 0.688412 2.094288 5.722293 13.986124 30.577038 64.269395
2025-08-17 0.141859 0.593478 1.907785 5.443911 13.767737 30.917889 66.504757
2025-08-24 0.121566 0.544107 1.832415 5.421815 14.104803 32.381036 70.980000
2025-08-31 0.106141 0.506716 1.782985 5.456938 14.572319 34.139953 76.140888
2025-09-07 0.091254 0.466019 1.715616 5.435127 14.903840 35.637650 80.871384
2025-09-14 0.072570 0.402529 1.564988 5.166493 14.618815 35.806960 82.921895
2025-09-21 0.062200 0.369779 1.503958 5.135081 14.904307 37.220485 87.609575
2025-09-28 0.053222 0.339420 1.444024 5.097353 15.168804 38.604180 92.314901